Copa Libertadores qualifying Stage 2 Final
Global 3-6
Unión Española vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CSL
4 - 1
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
UCH
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 4
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
COQ
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
MUS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
IVT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
4 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |