Unión Española vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2025 |
ONC
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HUA
2 - 1
UNI
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2025 |
ACS
2 - 1
CON
59%
21%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
4 - 4
CON
66%
19%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 3
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 2
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |