Unión Española vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
12º
16º
15º
17
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 54 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 49 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 28 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 25 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
UCH
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
COQ
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OHI
1 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
LIM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SWA
1 - 5
DLS
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
DLS
4 - 2
SWA
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
DLS
4 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
DLS
1 - 1
LIM
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |