Copa Libertadores Qualifying Round Last 16
Global 0-1
Unión Española vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
OHI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 5
IVT
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOC
4 - 2
ARS
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 1
LAN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GLP
2 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |