Union Deportiva Usera vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VLO
3 - 3
UNI
46%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
ATZ
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
YSB
1 - 5
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
CFM
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MBP
2 - 3
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
CDF
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 1
MOS
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
ALU
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
MOS
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |