Union Deportiva Usera vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORC
4 - 0
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
NUE
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 1
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALZ
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 2
UNI
68%
19%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
3 - 2
ATZ
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
YSB
3 - 1
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
CFM
8%
15%
76%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MBP
4 - 0
LUG
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAS
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |