U.D. Amistad vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Amistad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
AMI
5 - 2
PUE
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
RAY
1 - 0
AMI
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
AMI
3 - 2
EXT
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
AMI
0 - 2
MER
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
DBN
3 - 1
AMI
64%
17%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
DBN
3 - 1
UDG
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
UDG
0 - 1
GUA
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
CDS
4 - 5
UDG
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
UDG
1 - 1
CDM
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
CUA
1 - 5
UDG
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |