US Cosne vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
9º
4º
31
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
VIE
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
5 - 3
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 4
SBM
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |