Unión Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
COM
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
COM
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AGU
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 0
UTC
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
5 - 1
UTC
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -2 |