Unión Comercio vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 3
UNI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 1
GAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |