Unión Comercio vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
GAR
30%
31%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
PAC
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
UNI
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
GAR
36%
31%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |