Unión Comercio vs UCV Moquegua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+373%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
COM
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
COM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
EGB
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
LOS
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 2
UCV
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
UCV
65%
22%
14%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UCV
3 - 0
CAN
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 1
UCV
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | +1 |