Unión Comercio vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 2
COM
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
COM
1 - 2
MUN
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 0
COM
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 2
SBO
76%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
SBO
2 - 2
SPC
14%
19%
68%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 2
ZUL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |