Unión Comercio vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 0
SPC
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
PAC
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |