Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUR
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
5 - 1
SPC
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |