Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 2
GAR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |