Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
SPC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 1
AUR
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
HUA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 3
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |