Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 0
AYA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |