Unión Comercio vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SBO
1 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
BIN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
HUA
3 - 2
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
CAN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
3 - 0
CAN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
GAR
5 - 1
MUN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 3
MEL
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 1
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 1
MEL
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |