Unión Comercio vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
AYA
3 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
BOC
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |