Unión Comercio vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
SFC
51%
23%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
EGB
3 - 2
COM
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 17 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
LOS
53%
22%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
COM
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
SAM
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 1
COM
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |