Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
COM
4 - 0
HUA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAN
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 1
SRP
47%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |