Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
CIE
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
60%
25%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
HUA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |