Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
HUA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 0
COM
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 1
AYA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 3
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |