Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |