Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 3
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAR
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 0
PAC
53%
27%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALI
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |