Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
CIE
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
37%
30%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAC
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |