Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
GAR
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
COM
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
GAR
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 3
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
COB
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |