Unión Comercial vs Real Sporting C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 1
COM
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
LLA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 1
COM
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
COM
4 - 2
TUR
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
REA
1 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 1
REA
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
REA
2 - 0
FRE
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GIN
1 - 1
REA
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
REA
2 - 0
ATL
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |