Unión Comercial vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
L20
1 - 1
COM
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COM
3 - 2
AST
32%
24%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 2
COM
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ROC
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 0
COM
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 6
PCF
33%
25%
42%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TIN
2 - 0
NAI
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 7
SIE
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
6 - 1
NAI
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 4
MOS
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |