U.Comercial vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COM
3 - 2
ROC
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 2
COM
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COM
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
FRE
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
FRE
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AST
30%
26%
44%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |