Unión Comercial vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AST
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
GIN
25%
25%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 2
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 0
CLA
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 0
NAV
28%
26%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
3 - 2
ESM
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |