Unión Comercial vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
L20
1 - 0
UCO
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 0
UCO
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
TIN
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 2
SDC
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
L20
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
NAV
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 2
LLA
23%
26%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
NAV
63%
21%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |