Unión Comercial vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
VCD
30%
23%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 3
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RTI
3 - 3
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NAL
1 - 2
AST
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
URR
1 - 2
NAL
23%
24%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAL
2 - 0
TIN
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
NAL
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAL
0 - 0
AST
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |