Unión Comercial vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
2 - 1
UCO
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 2
TUR
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 4
VAL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
LAC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAL
0 - 1
TIN
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 3
NAL
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
NAL
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAL
0 - 1
MOS
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SDN
0 - 2
NAL
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |