Unión Comercial vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 3
UCO
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 2
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 5
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
48%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAL
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 3
NAL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BER
4 - 2
MAD
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAD
2 - 3
AST
39%
25%
37%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ENA
2 - 3
MAD
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAD
2 - 0
VCD
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |