Unión Comercial vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUA
5 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 2
ESM
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
1 - 0
UCO
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
VAL
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 2
UNI
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 0
MAD
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
CLA
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAD
4 - 1
CAN
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AND
1 - 2
MAD
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |