Unión Comercial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
3 - 1
CLA
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
4 - 0
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
3 - 0
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 1
ESM
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LUA
1 - 2
NAL
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 2
LUA
65%
20%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LUA
2 - 1
NAV
26%
26%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 2
LUA
69%
19%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUA
1 - 2
RIB
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |