Unión Comercial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
RAY
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TIN
1 - 0
UCO
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
BOA
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUA
2 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
4 - 0
LUA
62%
22%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
TAP
0 - 2
LUA
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LUA
3 - 0
RAY
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
LUA
59%
23%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |