Unión Comercial vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 0
UCO
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
CLA
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 0
AND
18%
23%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 4
NAL
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
5 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
UDL
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 0
FRE
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 4
NAV
13%
20%
68%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | -1 |