Unión Comercial vs Berrón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 0
UCO
27%
25%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 1
NAL
43%
26%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
UCO
48%
26%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
RIB
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BER
3 - 1
CLA
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
BER
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
MUR
41%
26%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
BER
51%
24%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
ESM
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |