Unión Comercial vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
5 - 0
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 0
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 4
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UCO
5 - 1
FRE
80%
13%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
CLA
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
AST
53%
23%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
AST
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AST
0 - 6
CAU
8%
19%
73%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SIE
4 - 0
AST
71%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |