Unión Comercial vs Andés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 2
UCO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 1
BER
37%
26%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 2
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
TUR
16%
22%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NAL
0 - 0
UCO
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Andés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AND
2 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 1
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AND
2 - 1
CLA
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
AND
10%
19%
71%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AND
3 - 0
FRE
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |