UC Ceares vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
NAI
0 - 0
CEA
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 1
CEA
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CEA
2 - 1
HIS
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
CEA
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CEA
3 - 0
RTI
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AST
3 - 2
LLA
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AST
4 - 1
MOS
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
OVI
2 - 2
AST
80%
15%
5%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
NAI
2 - 2
AST
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AST
1 - 0
SPB
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |