Unión Carrizal vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
COT
0 - 0
UCA
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
UCA
82%
12%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
VLS
2 - 0
UCA
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
UCA
3 - 3
UDG
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 3
UCA
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
COT
15%
21%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DPV
1 - 2
COS
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
VLS
2 - 0
COS
27%
22%
52%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BLP
5 - 0
COS
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -2 |