Union Carrascal vs Sporting Bazan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
PVE
3 - 4
UCA
36%
21%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 1
EFC
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAA
0 - 1
UCA
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UCA
3 - 1
CEN
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ADL
2 - 1
UCA
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Bazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 2
SJZ
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
SPB
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
PIQ
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SNA
3 - 5
SPB
39%
20%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 3
FOB
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |