Union Carrascal vs Nuevo Ciudad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CFN
2 - 3
UCA
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 0
UCA
83%
11%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 2
LAB
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LFB
1 - 0
UCA
52%
20%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UCA
2 - 2
LEG
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nuevo Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
NCD
4 - 3
LAB
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LFB
2 - 4
NCD
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NCD
2 - 2
LEG
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
NCD
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NCD
1 - 1
VDP
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |