Union Carrascal vs Centella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ADL
2 - 1
UCA
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 3
CAN
28%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SIL
1 - 0
UCA
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UCA
3 - 2
ATZ
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UCA
0 - 1
SJZ
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Centella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
SJZ
66%
17%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
CEN
58%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
PIQ
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SNA
2 - 3
CEN
48%
20%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOB
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |