Union Carrascal vs Atlético Velilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
UCA
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UCA
0 - 1
NPA
69%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BET
1 - 3
UCA
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 1
BRU
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
IMA
2 - 0
UCA
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Velilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NPA
4 - 2
ATL
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
URS
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |