Union Campestre vs Sporting Burgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 1
UCA
30%
20%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
0 - 6
POR
51%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
UCA
45%
21%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 0
OBR
39%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UCA
7 - 1
PAS
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Burgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 0
OCA
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
SPO
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
CRI
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 5
SPO
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
OBR
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |